BETTING DASHBOARD
Below are the suite of tools we've created to ensure you are informed and profitable on a daily basis.
If you have any urgent questions at all that aren’t clear on the website, or need help placing a bet that we posted, please do not hesitate to text me directly at 516-317-4405. Obviously save this option for urgent questions only, since as we grow in size this is going to become increasingly difficult to maintain. But for now you have this option.
This information should not be used for any activity that is not approved by law.
-Shon
Betting Tools
Recent Trends
Bet Recap 9/13/23
Great bounce back night, 2/2. I understand email notifications have been inconsistent lately, we're working on getting that resolved. To be safe, just check the betting dashboard a few times a day to make sure you're up to date on picks. I'm hoping notifications will be fixed by today. If you don't receive a notification, first check your spam folder to see if it went there. If it's not there, text me directly at 516-317-4405.
226/328 68.9% on the year.
-Shon
Our season to date success rate when blindly trusting the model is 62% over walks, 61% over strikeouts, 58% under walks, and 56% under strikeouts. When we post our recommended bets, it's the combination of our AI model and human analysis that leads to a 68% success rate. Just be cautious when blindly trusting the model.
George Box once said, "All models are wrong, some are useful." Truer words were never spoken.
Over Walks Predictions old
| wdt_ID | Player Name | Game Date | Over/Under | Market Implied Probability | Predicted Over Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1805 | Patrick Sandoval | 05/01/2024 | 1.50 | 64.91% | 62.61% |
| 1806 | Dakota Hudson | 05/01/2024 | 1.50 | 60.0% | 61.67% |
| 1807 | Chris Bassitt | 05/01/2024 | 1.50 | 47.62% | 58.67% |
| 1808 | Kenta Maeda | 05/01/2024 | 1.50 | 58.33% | 54.73% |
| 1809 | Ross Stripling | 05/01/2024 | 1.50 | 51.22% | 53.79% |
| 1810 | Joe Musgrove | 05/01/2024 | 1.50 | 58.33% | 53.13% |
| 1811 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 05/01/2024 | 1.50 | 57.45% | 52.13% |
| 1812 | Chris Flexen | 05/01/2024 | 1.50 | 62.26% | 52.01% |
| 1813 | Seth Lugo | 05/01/2024 | 1.50 | 57.45% | 51.96% |
| 1814 | Trevor Williams | 05/01/2024 | 1.50 | 60.0% | 50.34% |
Under Walks Predictions old
| wdt_ID | Player Name | Game Date | Over/Under | Market Implied Probability | Predicted Under Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1788 | Quinn Priester | 05/01/2024 | 2.50 | 65.52% | 78.01% |
| 1789 | Corbin Burnes | 05/01/2024 | 2.50 | 62.26% | 75.53% |
| 1790 | Shota Imanaga | 05/01/2024 | 1.50 | 64.29% | 68.06% |
| 1791 | Triston McKenzie | 05/01/2024 | 2.50 | 63.64% | 67.76% |
| 1792 | Bailey Ober | 05/01/2024 | 1.50 | 67.21% | 67.28% |
| 1793 | Miles Mikolas | 05/01/2024 | 1.50 | 62.26% | 66.73% |
| 1794 | Zach Eflin | 05/01/2024 | 1.50 | 62.26% | 62.39% |
| 1795 | Colin Rea | 05/01/2024 | 1.50 | 58.33% | 60.43% |
| 1796 | Andrew Heaney | 05/01/2024 | 1.50 | 53.49% | 58.76% |
| 1797 | Zack Wheeler | 05/01/2024 | 1.50 | 56.52% | 58.36% |
Over Strikeouts Predictions old
| wdt_ID | Player Name | Game Date | Over/Under | Market Implied Probability | Exact Prediction | Predicted Over Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1802 | Dakota Hudson | 05/01/2024 | 2.50 | 63.64% | 3.45 | 68.62% |
| 1803 | Ross Stripling | 05/01/2024 | 4.50 | 50.0% | 4.96 | 59.51% |
| 1804 | Quinn Priester | 05/01/2024 | 4.50 | 61.54% | 5.22 | 59.34% |
| 1805 | Graham Ashcraft | 05/01/2024 | 4.50 | 47.62% | 4.85 | 55.14% |
| 1806 | Jose Butto | 05/01/2024 | 5.50 | 54.55% | 5.93 | 55.11% |
| 1807 | Patrick Sandoval | 05/01/2024 | 5.50 | 52.38% | 5.57 | 51.13% |
| 1808 | Shota Imanaga | 05/01/2024 | 4.50 | 58.33% | 4.46 | 49.56% |
| 1809 | Justin Verlander | 05/01/2024 | 5.50 | 45.45% | 5.22 | 46.85% |
| 1810 | Bailey Ober | 05/01/2024 | 5.50 | 51.22% | 5.20 | 46.39% |
| 1811 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 05/01/2024 | 5.50 | 46.51% | 5.06 | 44.56% |
Under Strikeouts Predictions old
| wdt_ID | Player Name | Game Date | Over/Under | Market Implied Probability | Exact Prediction | Predicted Under Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1800 | Chris Flexen | 05/01/2024 | 4.50 | 62.26% | 3.26 | 79.84% |
| 1801 | Zach Eflin | 05/01/2024 | 5.50 | 60.0% | 3.94 | 78.47% |
| 1802 | Jordan Montgomery | 05/01/2024 | 4.50 | 58.33% | 3.23 | 72.96% |
| 1803 | Kenta Maeda | 05/01/2024 | 4.50 | 53.49% | 3.68 | 66.43% |
| 1804 | Triston McKenzie | 05/01/2024 | 4.50 | 60.78% | 3.37 | 65.58% |
| 1805 | Colin Rea | 05/01/2024 | 4.50 | 53.49% | 3.79 | 63.85% |
| 1806 | Chris Bassitt | 05/01/2024 | 4.50 | 47.62% | 3.64 | 63.53% |
| 1807 | Joe Musgrove | 05/01/2024 | 6.50 | 59.18% | 5.81 | 63.05% |
| 1808 | Andrew Heaney | 05/01/2024 | 4.50 | 60.0% | 3.55 | 62.11% |
| 1809 | Seth Lugo | 05/01/2024 | 4.50 | 58.33% | 3.78 | 59.66% |
Congratulations, you're officially ready to start placing bets as a member of AI Betting Edge! If you're a seasoned sports bettor, much of the content below won't be new information for you. However, we advise everyone to skim through this guide at least once before diving in and placing bets.
Q. Where should I go to place the bets you post?
For MLB season, 90% of our bets are on DraftKings. DraftKings offers pitcher walk props which have been our hottest market. FanDuel DOES NOT offer walk props. To ensure you catch all of our posted plays, definitely sign up for DraftKings. If you can't for whatever reason, Caesars also offers walk props but not the creative alt lines that DraftKings offers.
Q. How many bets do you post daily?
This depends a lot on the slate size (number of games that day), and how sharp the lines are. Generally we post anywhere from 1-5 bets daily. We also post all our machine learning predictions in case you want to make your own bets.
Q. What happens if the odds are different than what you post, or the line itself has moved?
Obviously, the betting market is indeed a market, and there's no guarantee that if we post a bet at -130, by the time you go to place it it's not at -140. Typically things don't move THAT quickly, but they certainly do from time to time. Our general recommendation is, if the odds move, you should still place the bet. However if the LINE moves (we post an over 5.5 assists bet and when you go to place it, the line is 6.5), we recommend not placing the bet. A lot of people think "Oh what's the difference it's only 1 more strikeout", trust me, it's ALL of the difference. We're dealing with razor thin margins here.
Q. How much should I bet more on bets that you post?
We recommend betting 1 unit on every bet we post. This will ensure you're profitable.
Q. Do you post only straight bets or both straight bets and parlays?
Both. We try to ensure that the odds are always better than -160. So if our model really likes a bet, but its -190, we'll often parlay it with what we call "layup legs". These are simply >90% bets that almost always hit. On the other hand if the odds are -120 for a straight bet, we won't parlay it with anything.