Odds Calculator
Convert american or decimal odds to implied probability
| wdt_ID | American Odds | Decimal Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4002 | -10000 | 1.01 | 99.01% |
Kelly Criteria Calculator
| wdt_ID | Optimal Bankroll Percent | Win Probability (%) | American Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 252401 | 0.0% | 1 | -500.00 |
Parlay Calculator - Pitcher Hits Allowed + Opposing Team Runs Scored
Calculate the joint probability of a pitcher allowing a certain amount of hits and the opposing team scoring a certain amount of runs.
| wdt_ID | Pitcher Name | Pitcher Hits Allowed Line | Opposing Team Runs Scored Line | Joint Probability of Both Going Over | Number of Games Pitched This Season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 193762 |
How to use this page:
As the games are going on, the sportsbooks constantly update the odds for a particular team winning, depending on the score, the inning, the number of outs, and the runners on. We’ve used machine learning to get you the exact win probability for every possible game state imaginable.
1. Enter what team you want the win probability for (Home/Away)
2. Enter what inning it is (number and top or bottom) as well as how many outs there are
3. Enter the run differential (If you want the score for the home team and they’re losing 5-1, you put -4 for run differential. If they’re winning 5-1, you put 4)
4. Enter yes/no whether there’s a runner on 1st, 2nd or 3rd.
5. Using the second table, type in the odds DraftKings or FanDuel (any sportbook really) is giving you, to get their implied market probability. If there’s a significant difference between our model’s win probability and the sportsbook’s win probability, it’s potentially a bet worth placing!
IMPORTANT: This current version is a non-team specific probability. It is not considering who the current pitcher is, who’s at bat, whether it’s a terrible team vs the best team in baseball, or anything besides what’s in the dropdown options. Down the line, we plan on releasing a more sophisticated team-specific model.
Live In Game Probability Update
Get any team's live in game win probability by using our model trained on 10+ years of data.
| wdt_ID | Home/Away | Inning | Top/Bottom Inning | Outs | Run Difference | Runner on 1B | Runner on 2B | Runner on 3B | Probability of Win | team_batting | preds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Away | 12 | Bottom | 2 | 5 | No | Yes | No | 99.95% | 0 | 1 |
Odds Calculator
Convert american or decimal odds to implied probability
| wdt_ID | American Odds | Decimal Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4002 | -10000 | 1.01 | 99.01% |